What First Quarter Statistics Say about the Future of Texas Real Estate Markets

 

 

www.gfwar.org

The Texas real estate market gained positive momentum in the first quarter of 2012, according to the 2012-Q1 edition of the Texas Quarterly Housing Report issued recently by the Texas Association of REALTORS®. The volume of single-family home sales in Texas was 12 percent higher than the same quarter of 2011 and the median price increased by almost three percent over the same time frame.

“The watchword for Texas real estate in 2011 was ‘consistency,’ in both sales volume and price. That allowed us to emerge from last year with stable sales volumes and strong property values,” said Joe Stewart, chairman of the Texas Association of REALTORS®. “Now, in 2012’s first-quarter results, we see a strong increase in sales volume and a meaningful increase in the median price. That indicates positive momentum for the year ahead.”

For the period of January through March 2012, the volume of single-family home sales in Texas was 45,502, which is 12 percent more than the same quarter in 2011. The median price for Texas homes during the quarter was $147,100, which is 2.7 percent more than 2011-Q1.

Jim Gaines, Ph.D., an economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, expanded on the report: “We believe several factors are driving the strong performance of the first quarter, including continued job growth in Texas and some increased access to credit for homebuyers. Most of all, we’re starting to see a shift in Texans’ attitudes toward real estate. Essentially, buyers and sellers have higher expectations for the market, so they’re beginning to take action and we’re starting to see the impacts.”

Looking ahead, the “months inventory” calculation can provide insight into future demand for homes and that figure decreased from 7.6 months in 2011-Q1 to 6.0 months in the first quarter of this year. “Months inventory” is an indicator of the balance between demand for homes and supply in the market and the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University cites 6.5 months of inventory as a balanced market.

Gaines continued, “In Texas, our inventory of homes for sale has been decreasing for about six months now. That’s due in part to the fact that some homeowners who don’t have to sell have chosen to wait for prices to improve before selling their homes. In addition, the slower processing of foreclosures and fewer distressed properties may reduce the number of listings. However, a decrease of more than 20 percent in the inventory of homes compared to the same quarter last year is significant and may be an indication of price increases in the future.”

Chairman Stewart concluded, “If all the indicators play out as we expect, the Texas real estate market is in for a busy spring and summer.”

The Texas Quarterly Housing Report is issued four times per year by the Texas Association of Realtors with multiple listing service data compiled and analyzed by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M. To view the report for 2012-Q1 in its entirety, click here.

About the Texas Quarterly Housing Report Data for the Texas Quarterly Housing Report is analyzed by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University using statistics compiled from 47 multiple listing services in markets throughout Texas. The report includes data for single-family home sales over the course of one quarter and is scheduled for release by the Texas Association of Realtors on the following dates each year: Feb. 1, May 1, Aug. 1 and Nov. 1.

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About Ryan&Real Estate

Born and raised in Fort Worth, after graduating high school I began my quest for self-employment. I started out in Cosmetology. Learning how to wrap, perm, color and cut. I began practicing, but with the crash of the economy my family and I had to move and I had to leave my beloved clients. After the slow rise of normalcy in day-to-day life, a career in real Estate fell in my lap. As I begin my new life as an agent, I'm constantly searching for more and more information, and what better way to share my findings, than by blogging about it? Enjoy!
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